Prediction, dynamics, and visualization of antigenic phenotypes of seasonal influenza viruses

Prediction, dynamics, and visualization of antigenic phenotypes of seasonal influenza viruses
Richard A. Neher, Trevor Bedford, Rodney S. Daniels, Colin A. Russell, Boris I. Shraiman

Human seasonal influenza viruses evolve rapidly, enabling the virus population to evade immunity and re-infect previously infected individuals. Antigenic properties are largely determined by the surface glycoprotein hemagglutinin (HA) and amino acid substitutions at exposed epitope sites in HA mediate loss of recognition by antibodies. Here, we show that antigenic differences measured through serological assay data are well described by a sum of antigenic changes along the path connecting viruses in a phylogenetic tree. This mapping onto the tree allows prediction of antigenicity from HA sequence data alone. The mapping can further be used to make predictions about the makeup of the future seasonal influenza virus population, and we compare predictions between models with serological and sequence data. To make timely model output readily available, we developed a web browser based application that visualizes antigenic data on a continuously updated phylogeny.

Quantifying and mitigating the effect of preferential sampling on phylodynamic inference

Quantifying and mitigating the effect of preferential sampling on phylodynamic inference
Michael D. Karcher, Julia A. Palacios, Trevor Bedford, Marc A. Suchard, Vladimir N. Minin

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting a coalescent model for the sampled individuals’ genealogy and then integrating over all possible genealogies via Monte Carlo or, less efficiently, by conditioning on one genealogy estimated from the sequence data. However, when analyzing sequences sampled serially through time, current methods implicitly assume either that sampling times are fixed deterministically by the data collection protocol or that their distribution does not depend on the size of the population. Through simulation, we first show that, when sampling times do probabilistically depend on effective population size, estimation methods may be systematically biased. To correct for this deficiency, we propose a new model that explicitly accounts for preferential sampling by modeling the sampling times as an inhomogeneous Poisson process dependent on effective population size. We demonstrate that in the presence of preferential sampling our new model not only reduces bias, but also improves estimation precision. Finally, we compare the performance of the currently used phylodynamic methods with our proposed model through clinically-relevant, seasonal human influenza examples.

Investigating the importance of anatomical homology for cross-species phenotype comparisons using semantic similarity.

Investigating the importance of anatomical homology for cross-species phenotype comparisons using semantic similarity.

Prashanti Manda, Christopher Mungall, James Balhoff, Hilmar Lapp, Todd Vision

Gene discovery for Mendelian conditions via social networking: de novo variants in KDM1A cause developmental delay and distinctive facial features

Gene discovery for Mendelian conditions via social networking: de novo variants in KDM1A cause developmental delay and distinctive facial features

Jessica Chong, Joon-Ho Yu, Peter Lorentzen, Karen Park, Seema M Jamal, Holly K Tabor, Anita Rauch, Margarita Sifuentes Saenz, Eugen Boltshauser, Karynne E Patterson, Deborah A Nickerson, University of Washington Center for Mendelian Geno, Michael J Bamshad

QuicK-mer: A rapid paralog sensitive CNV detection pipeline

QuicK-mer: A rapid paralog sensitive CNV detection pipeline

Feichen Shen, Jeffrey Kidd

Resolving Complex Structural Genomic Rearrangements using a Randomized Approach

Resolving Complex Structural Genomic Rearrangements using a Randomized Approach

Xuefang Zhao, Sarah B. Emery, Bridget Myers, Jeffrey M. Kidd, Ryan E. Mills

Mitochondrial introgression suggests extensive ancestral hybridization events among Saccharomyces species

Mitochondrial introgression suggests extensive ancestral hybridization events among Saccharomyces species

David Peris, Armando Arias, Sandi Orlic, Carmela Belloch, Laura Perez-Traves, Amparo Querol, Eladio Barrio

Fast and accurate long-range phasing and imputation in a UK Biobank cohort

Fast and accurate long-range phasing and imputation in a UK Biobank cohort

Po-Ru Loh, Pier Francesco Palamara, Alkes L Price

Influenza Evolution and H3N2 Vaccine Effectiveness, with Application to the 2014/2015 Season

Influenza Evolution and H3N2 Vaccine Effectiveness, with Application to the 2014/2015 Season
Xi Li, Michael W. Deem

H3N2 Influenza A is a serious disease which can lead to hospitalization and which causes significant morbidity and mortality. Vaccines against the seasonal influenza disease are of variable effectiveness, for example being fairly low in the 2014/2015 Northern hemisphere season. In this paper, we discuss use of the pepitope method to predict the dominant influenza strain and the expected vaccine effectiveness in the coming flu season. We illustrate how the current A/Texas/50/2012 vaccine is not expected to be protective against the A/California/02/2014 strain that has emerged in the population, consistent with recent observations. In addition, we used multidimensional scaling to cluster the A/H3N2 hemagglutinin from GenBank to find that there is a transition underway from the A/California/02/2014 to the A/New Mexico/11/2014 strain, suggesting the latter may be an appropriate vaccine component for next season.

A glance at recombination hotspots in the domestic cat

A glance at recombination hotspots in the domestic cat

Hasan Alhaddad, Chi Zhang, Bruce Rannala, Leslie A Lyons